2015 Season results for Chaparral (BV,3-5A)

37   11   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
972     -117
Strength     Momentum
916   53.5(25)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  12W   8L   2T 
District  6W   3L   1T 
Expected  15:   3+   4- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 at Deming 0.000584W 2- 1 Expected (-3) 838 92%
08/25/15 Gadsden 0.0001013T 2- 2 Better (0) 983 46%
08/28/15 at Mayfield ?? 0.000854L 1- 2 Worse (-2) 873 66%
08/29/15 Las Cruces 0.0001152L 0- 1 Expected (+1)1002 24%
08/29/15 at Deming 0.000584W 9- 1 Expected (+4)1198 92%
09/01/15 Hatch ! 0.0001052W 7- 1 Better (+7)1307 39%
09/03/15 Onate ? 0.001859L 1- 2 Worse (-2) 856 71%
09/08/15 at Gadsden 0.0031013L 1- 4 Expected (-2) 852 39%
09/12/15 Silver 0.001870W 10- 0 Expected (+9)1431 70%
09/15/15 Deming 0.010584W 3- 0 Expected (-1) 919 93%
09/22/15 Valencia !! 0.0331075W 2- 0 Better (+3)1114 35%
09/26/15 at Centennial 0.062961L 0- 1 Expected (-1) 926 48%
09/29/15 Santa Teresa 0.091902T 1- 1 Worse (-1) 927 66%
10/03/15 Los Lunas 0.121931W 5- 2 Expected (+2)1092 61%
10/06/15 Belen 0.186593W 4- 2 Expected (-2) 873 94%
10/10/15 at Valencia 0.2881075L 2- 3 Expected (0) 983 29%
10/13/15 Centennial 0.349961W 3- 1 Expected (+2)1057 55%
10/17/15 at Santa Teresa 0.476902W 1- 0 Expected (0) 997 59%
10/22/15 at Los Lunas 0.661931L 1- 2 Worse (-1) 911 54%
10/24/15 at Belen 0.444593W 4- 0 Expected (0) 994 92%
10/31/15 Santa Teresa 0.916902W 1- 0 Expected (0) 977 66%
11/05/15 * Albuquerque Academy 0.5611495L 1- 6 Expected (0) 991 3%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Chaparral actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 916, while
Chaparral's "weighted playing strength" is 978
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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