Strength
Strength
|
32 17 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1013 -185 Strength Momentum |
972 55.6(22) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | at Centennial | 0.000 | 961 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1097 | 56% | |
| 08/20/15 | at Carlsbad ! | 0.000 | 1095 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1164 | 34% | |
| 08/22/15 | Hobbs | 0.000 | 1286 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1090 | 15% | |
| 08/25/15 | at Chaparral | 0.000 | 972 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1002 | 54% | |
| 08/29/15 | Silver | 0.000 | 870 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1288 | 75% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Santa Teresa ? | 0.001 | 902 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 917 | 66% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.001 | 1005 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1069 | 48% | |
| 09/08/15 | Chaparral | 0.003 | 972 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1133 | 61% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Goddard | 0.005 | 996 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1064 | 50% | |
| 09/15/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.011 | 902 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1048 | 72% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Valley | 0.018 | 1096 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 964 | 34% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Sandia !! | 0.022 | 1278 | W 2- 1 | Better (+4) | 1205 | 13% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Deming | 0.034 | 584 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 858 | 93% | |
| 09/29/15 | Mayfield ?? | 0.087 | 854 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 874 | 77% | |
| 10/03/15 | Onate | 0.136 | 859 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1026 | 76% | |
| 10/06/15 | Las Cruces | 0.190 | 1152 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1023 | 31% | |
| 10/08/15 | Deming | 0.240 | 584 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-3) | 839 | 95% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Mayfield | 0.476 | 854 | W 4- 3 | Expected (0) | 993 | 72% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Onate | 0.445 | 859 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1096 | 71% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.661 | 1152 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1042 | 25% | |
| 10/30/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.842 | 1152 | L 2- 4 | Expected (0) | 992 | 25% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Gadsden actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 972, while
Gadsden's "weighted playing strength" is 1006
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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