Strength
Strength
|
33 18 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1005 422 Strength Momentum |
1013 46.8(42) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | Mayfield ?? | 0.000 | 854 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 870 | 76% | |
| 08/21/15 | at Deming | 0.000 | 584 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 904 | 93% | |
| 08/25/15 | Centennial ? | 0.000 | 961 | L 3- 5 | Worse (-3) | 873 | 61% | |
| 08/28/15 | Las Cruces | 0.000 | 1152 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1119 | 29% | |
| 08/29/15 | Centennial | 0.000 | 961 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 924 | 61% | |
| 09/01/15 | Las Cruces | 0.000 | 1152 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-7) | 659 | 29% | |
| 09/03/15 | Gadsden | 0.001 | 1013 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 949 | 52% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.003 | 902 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 913 | 65% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Rio Grande ! | 0.005 | 943 | W 6- 3 | Expected (+3) | 1135 | 57% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Artesia | 0.001 | 779 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1422 | 80% | |
| 09/19/15 | Deming | 0.005 | 584 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1195 | 95% | |
| 09/29/15 | Carlsbad | 0.091 | 1095 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1041 | 38% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Hobbs | 0.144 | 1286 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1105 | 12% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Clovis !! | 0.252 | 1189 | W 4- 2 | Better (+4) | 1207 | 20% | |
| 10/17/15 | Hobbs | 0.476 | 1286 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1086 | 14% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.423 | 1095 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 859 | 32% | |
| 10/24/15 | Clovis | 0.634 | 1189 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 987 | 25% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Alamogordo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1013, while
Alamogordo's "weighted playing strength" is 1022
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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