16 10 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1189 -86 Strength Momentum |
1057 57.0(18) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | Lovington | 0.000 | 1057 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1163 | 74% | |
08/22/15 | at NMMI | 0.000 | 909 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1363 | 86% | |
08/25/15 | at Portales | 0.000 | 936 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1325 | 83% | |
08/28/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.000 | 801 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1342 | 94% | |
08/28/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.000 | 1300 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1204 | 29% | |
08/29/15 | Farmington | 0.000 | 1250 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1260 | 43% | |
09/01/15 | at Goddard | 0.001 | 996 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1152 | 77% | |
09/03/15 | Portales | 0.000 | 936 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1573 | 87% | |
09/08/15 | Roswell ? | 0.003 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1133 | 52% | |
09/11/15 | at Cibola | 0.006 | 1232 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1120 | 39% | |
09/12/15 | at Highland | 0.006 | 917 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1163 | 85% | |
09/15/15 | at Lovington | 0.012 | 1057 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1183 | 69% | |
09/17/15 | NMMI | 0.016 | 909 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1139 | 89% | |
09/26/15 | Carlsbad | 0.035 | 1095 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1385 | 69% | |
09/29/15 | at Hobbs !! | 0.079 | 1286 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1347 | 31% | |
10/02/15 | Sandia Prep ! | 0.092 | 1201 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1386 | 52% | |
10/10/15 | Alamogordo ?? | 0.252 | 1005 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-4) | 987 | 80% | |
10/17/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.476 | 1095 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1202 | 63% | |
10/20/15 | Hobbs | 0.572 | 1286 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1178 | 37% | |
10/24/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.634 | 1005 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1207 | 75% | |
10/30/15 | at Sandia | 0.895 | 1278 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1193 | 32% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Clovis actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1057, while
Clovis's "weighted playing strength" is 1189
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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