| Overall | 13W 6L 1T |
| District | 4W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 12: 5+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
12 8 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1232 -64 Strength Momentum |
1236 59.1(10) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Eldorado ?? | 0.000 | 1150 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1131 | 68% |  |
| 08/26/15 | West Mesa | 0.000 | 1156 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1335 | 66% | |
| 08/29/15 | Manzano | 0.000 | 915 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1164 | 91% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Atrisco Heritage ! | 0.001 | 1350 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1401 | 28% | |
| 09/03/15 | Sandia | 0.001 | 1278 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1295 | 46% | |
| 09/08/15 | Sandia Prep ? | 0.003 | 1201 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1157 | 60% | |
| 09/11/15 | Clovis | 0.006 | 1189 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1301 | 61% | |
| 09/15/15 | at La Cueva | 0.012 | 1305 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1328 | 34% | |
| 09/17/15 | Rio Grande | 0.007 | 943 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1382 | 89% | |
| 09/19/15 | Albuquerque !! | 0.023 | 1422 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1368 | 23% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.041 | 1251 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1201 | 44% | |
| 09/30/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.098 | 1315 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1214 | 39% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Cleveland | 0.144 | 1236 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1194 | 46% | |
| 10/07/15 | Santa Fe | 0.125 | 1050 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1384 | 80% | |
| 10/10/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.272 | 1251 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1332 | 50% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.476 | 1315 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1334 | 33% | |
| 10/21/15 | Cleveland | 0.633 | 1236 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 1225 | 53% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.669 | 1050 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1201 | 76% | |
| 10/31/15 | Eldorado | 0.916 | 1150 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1231 | 68% | |
| 11/05/15 | * La Cueva | 0.983 | 1305 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1228 | 37% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Cibola actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1236, while
Cibola's "weighted playing strength" is 1246
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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