2 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1422 122 Strength Momentum |
1232 63.7(5) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Highland | 0.000 | 917 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1311 | 97% | |
08/27/15 | Volcano Vista ! | 0.000 | 1251 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1528 | 79% | |
08/29/15 | Valley | 0.000 | 1096 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1400 | 91% | |
09/02/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.001 | 1495 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1399 | 41% | |
09/04/15 | Eldorado | 0.001 | 1150 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1376 | 88% | |
09/09/15 | La Cueva !! | 0.003 | 1305 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1504 | 72% | |
09/12/15 | Rio Rancho ? | 0.007 | 1315 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1309 | 71% | |
09/17/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.016 | 1201 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1371 | 81% | |
09/19/15 | at Cibola ?? | 0.023 | 1232 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1287 | 77% | |
09/23/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.039 | 1350 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1446 | 59% | |
09/26/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.060 | 1495 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1399 | 41% | |
09/30/15 | Valley | 0.073 | 1096 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1450 | 91% | |
10/03/15 | Rio Grande | 0.103 | 943 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1374 | 97% | |
10/07/15 | West Mesa | 0.206 | 1156 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1379 | 88% | |
10/10/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.291 | 1350 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1376 | 65% | |
10/17/15 | at Valley | 0.302 | 1096 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1470 | 89% | |
10/23/15 | at West Mesa | 0.328 | 1156 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1551 | 85% | |
10/24/15 | Rio Grande | 0.062 | 943 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1693 | 97% | |
11/05/15 | * Sandia | 0.983 | 1278 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1390 | 73% | |
11/06/15 | * Rio Rancho | 0.988 | 1315 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1409 | 68% | |
11/07/15 | * Atrisco Heritage | 0.952 | 1350 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1446 | 62% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1232, while
Albuquerque's "weighted playing strength" is 1427
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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