19 11 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1150 -123 Strength Momentum |
1251 58.6(12) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Cibola | 0.000 | 1232 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1251 | 32% | |
08/26/15 | Manzano | 0.000 | 915 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1073 | 85% | |
08/29/15 | West Mesa | 0.000 | 1156 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1294 | 52% | |
09/02/15 | La Cueva | 0.001 | 1305 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1167 | 28% | |
09/04/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.001 | 1422 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1195 | 12% | |
09/08/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.003 | 1251 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1310 | 30% | |
09/12/15 | at Atrisco Heritage !! | 0.007 | 1350 | W 3- 2 | Better (+3) | 1309 | 18% | |
09/15/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.011 | 1315 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1142 | 22% | |
09/18/15 | Hobbs ! | 0.018 | 1286 | W 4- 2 | Better (+3) | 1308 | 30% | |
09/22/15 | at Sandia | 0.036 | 1278 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1173 | 26% | |
09/24/15 | St. Pius | 0.047 | 1071 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1151 | 67% | |
09/29/15 | at Manzano | 0.043 | 915 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1294 | 82% | |
10/01/15 | La Cueva ?? | 0.100 | 1305 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1117 | 28% | |
10/06/15 | Highland | 0.186 | 917 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1124 | 85% | |
10/08/15 | Sandia | 0.240 | 1278 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1254 | 32% | |
10/15/15 | Manzano | 0.431 | 915 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1073 | 85% | |
10/21/15 | at La Cueva ? | 0.591 | 1305 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1137 | 23% | |
10/23/15 | at Highland | 0.520 | 917 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1194 | 81% | |
10/31/15 | at Cibola | 0.916 | 1232 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1151 | 32% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Eldorado actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1251, while
Eldorado's "weighted playing strength" is 1153
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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