Strength
Strength
|
44 20 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
915 -76 Strength Momentum |
1150 42.5(52) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | West Mesa | 0.000 | 1156 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 1026 | 18% | |
| 08/26/15 | at Eldorado | 0.000 | 1150 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 992 | 15% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Cibola ! | 0.000 | 1232 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 983 | 9% | |
| 09/02/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.001 | 1315 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 955 | 7% | |
| 09/04/15 | Valley | 0.002 | 1096 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 946 | 25% | |
| 09/08/15 | Valley | 0.003 | 1096 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 946 | 25% | |
| 09/11/15 | Rio Grande ?? | 0.006 | 943 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 869 | 49% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Belen | 0.004 | 593 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 965 | 89% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Moriarty | 0.012 | 981 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 908 | 36% | |
| 09/24/15 | at La Cueva | 0.040 | 1305 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 969 | 6% | |
| 09/29/15 | Eldorado ? | 0.043 | 1150 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 770 | 18% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Sandia !! | 0.108 | 1278 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1006 | 7% | |
| 10/05/15 | Highland | 0.179 | 917 | W 4- 3 | Expected (+1) | 957 | 53% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Highland | 0.231 | 917 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 976 | 46% | |
| 10/13/15 | La Cueva | 0.175 | 1305 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-1) | 848 | 7% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Eldorado | 0.431 | 1150 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 992 | 15% | |
| 10/22/15 | Del Norte | 0.661 | 798 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 897 | 73% | |
| 10/24/15 | Sandia | 0.343 | 1278 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 834 | 9% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Manzano actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1150, while
Manzano's "weighted playing strength" is 919
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page