Strength
Strength
|
63 21 6 Rank in State, Class, District |
593 -414 Strength Momentum |
961 37.8(60) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/20/15 | Socorro !! | 0.000 | 1040 | W 2- 1 | Better (+5) | 857 | 5% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Artesia | 0.000 | 779 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 646 | 20% | |
| 08/25/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.000 | 1201 | L 2-10 | Expected (-2) | 477 | 2% | |
| 09/01/15 | Aztec | 0.001 | 1058 | L 4- 5 | Expected (+3) | 766 | 5% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Moriarty | 0.002 | 981 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-2) | 493 | 6% | |
| 09/11/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.005 | 904 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 608 | 10% | |
| 09/12/15 | Manzano | 0.004 | 915 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 543 | 11% | |
| 09/15/15 | West Mesa | 0.007 | 1156 | L 1- 5 | Expected (+1) | 664 | 2% | |
| 09/17/15 | Miyamura | 0.017 | 696 | T 4- 4 | Better (+1) | 635 | 37% | |
| 09/22/15 | Santa Teresa ?? | 0.002 | 902 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 218 | 12% | |
| 09/26/15 | Valencia | 0.004 | 1075 | L 2-12 | Expected (-5) | 305 | 4% | |
| 09/29/15 | Los Lunas | 0.009 | 931 | L 1-10 | Expected (-6) | 288 | 10% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Chaparral | 0.186 | 972 | L 2- 4 | Expected (+2) | 692 | 6% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Santa Teresa ? | 0.025 | 902 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 237 | 10% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Valencia | 0.116 | 1075 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 487 | 3% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Centennial | 0.093 | 961 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-4) | 377 | 7% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.416 | 931 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 621 | 8% | |
| 10/22/15 | Centennial | 0.039 | 961 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 248 | 9% | |
| 10/24/15 | Chaparral | 0.444 | 972 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 572 | 8% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Belen actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 961, while
Belen's "weighted playing strength" is 566
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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