8 5 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1286 83 Strength Momentum |
1095 58.0(14) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Mayfield ?? | 0.000 | 854 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-6) | 979 | 94% | |
08/22/15 | at Gadsden | 0.000 | 1013 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1209 | 85% | |
08/25/15 | Artesia | 0.000 | 779 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1542 | 97% | |
08/29/15 | Portales | 0.000 | 936 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1458 | 93% | |
09/04/15 | at Centennial | 0.002 | 961 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1183 | 89% | |
09/12/15 | Onate | 0.007 | 859 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-3) | 1113 | 95% | |
09/15/15 | at Roswell | 0.012 | 1197 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1201 | 63% | |
09/18/15 | at Eldorado ? | 0.018 | 1150 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-3) | 1127 | 70% | |
09/19/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.016 | 1350 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1126 | 35% | |
09/25/15 | St. Michael's | 0.038 | 904 | W 5- 1 | Expected (0) | 1286 | 94% | |
09/26/15 | at Sandia Prep ! | 0.060 | 1201 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1303 | 62% | |
09/29/15 | Clovis | 0.079 | 1189 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1127 | 69% | |
10/03/15 | Alamogordo | 0.144 | 1005 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1186 | 88% | |
10/10/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.278 | 1095 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1250 | 77% | |
10/17/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.476 | 1005 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1205 | 86% | |
10/20/15 | at Clovis | 0.572 | 1189 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1297 | 63% | |
10/24/15 | Carlsbad | 0.517 | 1095 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1382 | 81% | |
10/31/15 | at Cleveland !! | 0.882 | 1236 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1321 | 55% | |
11/05/15 | * Rio Rancho | 0.946 | 1315 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1241 | 45% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hobbs actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1095, while
Hobbs's "weighted playing strength" is 1276
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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