53 22 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
859 -227 Strength Momentum |
1013 52.1(29) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/19/15 | at Santa Teresa ? | 0.000 | 902 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 790 | 40% | |
08/21/15 | Cleveland | 0.000 | 1236 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+3) | 988 | 8% | |
08/22/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1315 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1028 | 5% | |
08/28/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.000 | 902 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 921 | 46% | |
08/29/15 | at Mayfield | 0.000 | 854 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 916 | 48% | |
09/03/15 | at Chaparral | 0.001 | 972 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 975 | 29% | |
09/11/15 | at Carlsbad ! | 0.005 | 1095 | W 3- 1 | Better (+5) | 1087 | 16% | |
09/12/15 | at Hobbs | 0.007 | 1286 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1032 | 5% | |
09/18/15 | at Sandia | 0.019 | 1278 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1028 | 5% | |
09/19/15 | at Valley !! | 0.022 | 1096 | W 2- 1 | Better (+4) | 1037 | 16% | |
09/22/15 | Silver | 0.033 | 870 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 955 | 52% | |
09/26/15 | Las Cruces | 0.060 | 1152 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 946 | 14% | |
09/29/15 | Deming | 0.091 | 584 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 762 | 87% | |
10/03/15 | at Gadsden | 0.136 | 1013 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 845 | 24% | |
10/08/15 | at Mayfield ?? | 0.240 | 854 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 816 | 48% | |
10/15/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.306 | 1152 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 814 | 11% | |
10/17/15 | at Deming | 0.302 | 584 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 932 | 84% | |
10/20/15 | Gadsden | 0.445 | 1013 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 776 | 29% | |
10/22/15 | Mayfield | 0.661 | 854 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 897 | 54% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Onate actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1013, while
Onate's "weighted playing strength" is 856
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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