2015 Season results for Portales (BV,4-4A)

42   9   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
936     51
Strength     Momentum
981   41.3(55)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  4W   12L   1T 
District  2W   3L   1T 
Expected  14:   0+   3- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 Clovis 0.0001189L 0- 5 Expected (-3) 801 17%
08/29/15 at Hobbs 0.0001286L 0- 7 Expected (-3) 764 7%
09/01/15 Moriarty 0.001981L 2- 3 Expected (-1) 899 45%
09/03/15 at Clovis 0.0001189L 0-10 Expected (-7) 552 13%
09/08/15 Lovington 0.0031057L 2- 3 Expected (0) 937 33%
09/10/15 Desert Academy 0.004654W 5- 1 Expected (+1) 987 89%
09/12/15 Pojoaque 0.007848W 2- 0 Expected (+1) 983 68%
09/17/15 Ruidoso 0.016950L 4- 5 Worse (-1) 884 51%
09/19/15 at Santa Fe Prep 0.0211111L 1- 3 Expected (0) 933 20%
09/21/15 at Lovington ? 0.0181057L 0- 5 Expected (-4) 754 27%
09/26/15 at NMMI 0.058909L 4- 6 Worse (-2) 832 51%
10/01/15 at Goddard ?? 0.082996L 1- 5 Expected (-3) 775 36%
10/03/15 at Ruidoso 0.144950L 1- 2 Expected (-1) 903 44%
10/09/15 East Mountain ! 0.222890W 3- 0 Expected (+2)1054 61%
10/12/15 Roswell 0.1611197L 1- 6 Expected (-3) 804 16%
10/17/15 NMMI !! 0.495909W 3- 2 Expected (+1) 963 58%
10/24/15 at East Mountain 0.732890T 1- 1 Worse (0) 923 55%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Portales actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 981, while
Portales's "weighted playing strength" is 926
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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