42 9 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
936 51 Strength Momentum |
981 41.3(55) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Clovis | 0.000 | 1189 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 801 | 17% | |
08/29/15 | at Hobbs | 0.000 | 1286 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-3) | 764 | 7% | |
09/01/15 | Moriarty | 0.001 | 981 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 899 | 45% | |
09/03/15 | at Clovis | 0.000 | 1189 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 552 | 13% | |
09/08/15 | Lovington | 0.003 | 1057 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 937 | 33% | |
09/10/15 | Desert Academy | 0.004 | 654 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 987 | 89% | |
09/12/15 | Pojoaque | 0.007 | 848 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 983 | 68% | |
09/17/15 | Ruidoso | 0.016 | 950 | L 4- 5 | Worse (-1) | 884 | 51% | |
09/19/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.021 | 1111 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 933 | 20% | |
09/21/15 | at Lovington ? | 0.018 | 1057 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 754 | 27% | |
09/26/15 | at NMMI | 0.058 | 909 | L 4- 6 | Worse (-2) | 832 | 51% | |
10/01/15 | at Goddard ?? | 0.082 | 996 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 775 | 36% | |
10/03/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.144 | 950 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 903 | 44% | |
10/09/15 | East Mountain ! | 0.222 | 890 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1054 | 61% | |
10/12/15 | Roswell | 0.161 | 1197 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 804 | 16% | |
10/17/15 | NMMI !! | 0.495 | 909 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 963 | 58% | |
10/24/15 | at East Mountain | 0.732 | 890 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 923 | 55% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Portales actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 981, while
Portales's "weighted playing strength" is 926
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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